The
federal opposition warns the housing shortage is likely to be far
higher than predicted.
The
federal opposition says housing shortages in the near future are likely
to be far higher than predicted in a new report.
In a report
commissioned by the federal government, the National Housing Supply
Council has confirmed there is plenty of land available for development
on the fringes of Australia's major cities.
But it
says without significant government and industry intervention the
housing crisis could
increase tenfold by 2028.
In 2008, the housing shortfall
was around 85,000 dwellings.
In three years, the number was
expected to reach 203,000 and hit
431,000 by 2028.
The forecasts
are based on recent housing development and government funding trends.
But
if these trends slow, the predicted shortfall could top 800,000, the
report warned.
The shortfalls could also be
higher than the report predicts because it fails to include the impact
of the global financial crisis.
Opposition housing spokesman
Scott Morrison said the projections are "overly optimistic".
"Banks and housing groups have
been forecasting an undersupply of 200,000 dwellings in the next
financial year and I think that's pretty accurate," he told AAP.
Mr Morrison said exorbitant state
and local government charges associated with new housing development
must be cut and more land released.
The
government should also be doing more to help the private sector rather
than public housing, he said.
But National
Housing Supply Council chairman Owen Donald said the majority of
housing demand was coming from the bottom end of the market and people
from lower socioeconomic backgrounds were going to be hardest hit as rents and housing
prices lift.
He said there
had been a significant boost to housing investment, particularly in
social housing, by the Rudd government but much more was needed.
"The absence
of a very significant industry response and a very significant response
from government will actually lead to a deterioration of housing supply
... and ... affordability," Dr Donald told reporters.
Housing
Minister Tanya Plibersek said the bleak outlook should not be seen as a
sign that the Australian dream of home ownership was no longer
achievable.
"No, this
report shows that with government action and with industry responses we
can begin to close the gap between housing demand and housing supply,"
Ms Plibersek told reporters.
Ms Plibersek
said it should also send a clear message to industry.
"The
incentive is that they want to build the sort of houses that people
want to buy, that's their bread and butter."